Wall Street Eyes Winning Week as Fed Proceeds Cautiously on Interest Rates
Wall Street is on track to end the week with a win after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech signaled a cautious approach to interest rates. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both climbed by 0.8%, while the Nasdaq composite saw a 0.9% increase.
Powell’s highly anticipated speech addressed the Fed’s stance on interest rates, emphasizing that future decisions will be based on incoming data on inflation and the economy. He did not make any promises regarding the next steps the Fed will take, but he did acknowledge the potential risks of going too far with interest rate adjustments and causing harm to the economy.
The market had been hoping for Powell to indicate the end of rate hikes, which have been curbing inflation but also slowing down economic growth and impacting investment prices. Instead, Powell stated that the Fed may still consider raising rates if necessary, as he believes inflation remains elevated despite having decreased since its peak last summer.
While Powell’s comments were in line with previous statements, one word stood out to economists. Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, noted that carefully is now the new approach, indicating that adjustments to rates will be more like fine tuning rather than forceful actions that could destabilize the market.
The Fed has already raised its main interest rate to the highest level since 2001 to combat high inflation. These higher rates have contributed to the contraction of the manufacturing industry and even led to several bank failures. Although they have helped slow inflation, recent stronger-than-expected economic reports have sparked concerns of ongoing upward pressure on prices. This has led to expectations of the Fed keeping rates higher for a longer period.
These expectations have resulted in the 10-year Treasury yield reaching its highest level since 2007, currently standing at 4.25%. High yields make bonds more attractive to investors, potentially reducing enthusiasm for stocks and other investments that are more prone to price volatility. Particularly affected are Big Tech and high-growth stocks.
The threat of prolonged higher rates has contributed to a decline in the stock market throughout August, overshadowing positive earnings reports from influential companies like Nvidia. However, Gap managed to rise by 6.5% after reporting stronger-than-expected profits for the latest quarter.
Internationally, European stock indexes experienced modest gains, while Asian markets tumbled.
Overall, Wall Street remains optimistic as the week comes to a close, anticipating a positive outcome despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding interest rates. Investors will continue to monitor incoming data and the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach in the coming weeks to gauge the market’s direction.
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