Expectations regarding the arrival of general artificial intelligence (GAI) are increasing, and people are wondering if the next version of the popular chatbot, GPT-5, is capable of reaching its level. OpenAI has yet to make an official announcement on the GPT-5 launch, yet some rumors suggest it may be out by 2024. Despite this, the Metaculus forecaster survey reveals that it may take much longer to achieve GAI, possibly by 2032.
Even if GPT-5 becomes available, analysts foresee that it will still need to go through several technical hurdles to reach GAI. It may still be a long time before it becomes a reality.
It is expected that with GPT-5, natural language understanding would make big improvements – providing better, more accurate and consistent results for a multitude of language processing tasks. In addition, the need for training data could be reduced, as well as the energy and processor efficiency. This could make GPT-5 more accessible on different platforms and devices, and the current GPT-3.5 is already available on ChatGPT, while GPT-4 remains reserved for ChatGPT Plus.
OpenAI is a research laboratory, which is focused on developing technologies which can maximize human potential. It was founded in late 2015 as a non-profit AI research company, and it works to explore the ethical implications of artificial technologies as well as to develop generative models which can help to improve the future of healthcare and education.
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